Cash Flow Forecast
13-week probabilistic forecast · P10 / P50 / P90 confidence bands
Base Case — Cash Outlook
Base P50 reaches $6.88M by W25. No liquidity risk under base assumptions. Monitor DSCR covenant independently.
Stress Scenario
Key Metrics
Current Cash (W13)
$6.97M
Actual · AP/AR net
P50 at Week 25
$6.88M
↑ P90: $9.30M
Base Case
P10 at Week 25
$3.70M
Pessimistic bound
Floor Breach Risk
W24
Breach risk at W24
Probabilistic Cash Position
13-Week Cash Forecast — Base Case
Shaded band = P10–P90 · Blue line = P50 median · Green = actuals
Weekly Cash Movements
AR Receipts vs AP Payments
Weekly $K CAD · all weeks
Net Weekly Cash Flow
AR minus AP · positive = cash inflow · $K
P10/P50/P90 bands: XGBoost trained on 8 quarters of AR/AP transactional data, macro-adjusted for BoC rate trajectory. Stress deltas computed via DoubleML causal model (CATE). All inference runs in-browser via ONNX Runtime Web — no data leaves your device.